Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.001747 0.001856 0.001968 0.002093 0.002229 0.002371 0.002532
2025-03-23 0.001574 0.001725 0.001887 0.002075 0.002288 0.002522 0.002799
2025-03-30 0.001457 0.001635 0.001832 0.002067 0.002343 0.002657 0.003044
2025-04-06 0.001354 0.001548 0.001768 0.002038 0.002363 0.002744 0.003229
2025-04-13 0.001266 0.001471 0.001707 0.002004 0.002369 0.002808 0.003383
2025-04-20 0.001172 0.001379 0.001622 0.001932 0.002321 0.002800 0.003443
2025-04-27 0.001135 0.001353 0.001613 0.001951 0.002385 0.002930 0.003681
2025-05-04 0.001113 0.001343 0.001622 0.001992 0.002476 0.003098 0.003975
2025-05-11 0.001102 0.001345 0.001645 0.002050 0.002589 0.003299 0.004326
2025-05-18 0.001073 0.001323 0.001637 0.002066 0.002648 0.003427 0.004581
2025-05-25 0.001025 0.001274 0.001590 0.002027 0.002630 0.003450 0.004686
2025-06-01 0.000985 0.001235 0.001555 0.002003 0.002628 0.003493 0.004822
2025-06-08 0.000953 0.001206 0.001534 0.002001 0.002665 0.003601 0.005074
2025-06-15 0.000914 0.001168 0.001500 0.001980 0.002673 0.003668 0.005270
2025-06-22 0.000883 0.001138 0.001477 0.001971 0.002698 0.003761 0.005511
2025-06-29 0.000848 0.001101 0.001441 0.001943 0.002692 0.003806 0.005678
2025-07-06 0.000813 0.001064 0.001403 0.001911 0.002677 0.003836 0.005821
2025-07-13 0.000769 0.001012 0.001343 0.001843 0.002605 0.003773 0.005804
2025-07-20 0.000756 0.001002 0.001342 0.001861 0.002665 0.003919 0.006151
2025-07-27 0.000749 0.001002 0.001354 0.001900 0.002759 0.004124 0.006616
2025-08-03 0.000747 0.001008 0.001376 0.001954 0.002879 0.004381 0.007193
2025-08-10 0.000735 0.000998 0.001373 0.001969 0.002937 0.004535 0.007595
2025-08-17 0.000708 0.000967 0.001338 0.001933 0.002909 0.004541 0.007718